July 16, 2016

Today's big ISP Finance Services Jamaica St Leger raceday will see the first three past the post in the Cal's Jamaica Derby come face to face again in the 12th of 13 races on the card.

FUTURE KING, unfortunately disqualified after winning on merit in the June 25 showdown, should maintain his superiority over his rivals. In fact, I expect the race to finish just as they went past the post in the Cal's Derby, FUTURE KING on top, BIGDADDYKOOL second and ORPHEUS in third spot,

The following is an analysis of all 13 races with post time for the first at 11:05 a.m.

RACE ONE - 600m Straight

STORM PRINCESS from the stables of Collin Blair comes back well prepared and with a change of equipment and medication (first time Lasix) for today's opener. She galloped 35.3 for the first three 600m of a 1600m spin on July 8 and that should good enough to beat her six rivals. Those rivals include TOUGH COOKIE who beat the selection by three quarters of a length on Derby Day.

Selection: #2. STORM PRINCESS. Danger: #1 TOUGH COOKIE

RACE TWO - 1100m

The Philip Feanny-trained BOLD SYMPHONY (51kg) is the horse to beat. The three-year-old gelding has shown good speed in the past and has been burning up the exercise track since mid-June clocking 34.4 twice for 600m. The Image Maker - Tejano offspring is again fitted with the visor (clocked 1.08.3 with visor on March 9) and should be a lonely winner. FLYING MACHINE has also been prepared well for the encounter by trainer Gary Griffiths and will be a big danger with the blinkers now fitted.



BERRANCA is the form horse of the field. She clocked a fast 1:18.0 while placing second over 1300 metres ( race won in 1.17.4 by Holygram Shadow) on Derby Day. Four of her seven rivals were behind that day with none expected to turn the tables. Recent winner GARY GLITTER is up in class but while fit is too heavy at 53.0kg to trouble the selection. FORCE DE JOUR who led for a long way in the Derby day race will be the main danger.

Selection: #5 BERRANCA. Danger: FORCE DE JOUR

RACE FOUR: 1100m

HEY CHAMP has been keeping much better company than his maiden rivals and has been steadily prepared for today's contest. The Seeking The Glory - Pretty Hilly colt was well beaten by stable companion Soy El Senor in an exercise gallop on July 7 but his time, 1:01.3 for 1000 metres, is good enough to take care of this moderate bunch. TOP EAGLE ran well, clocking 1:15.2 when finishing second to Mr Lyndhurst on June 25, and is the main danger.

Selection: #8 HEY CHAMP. Danger: #6 TOP EAGLE

RACE FIVE: 1400m

This is a straight battle between COMPUTERISE and PIZARRO who are far better off at the handicaps than SUPERTRONICS. PIZARRO showed some hint of a return to his best form when up with the early pace in a 1200 metres event won in 1:12.3 by Prolific Princess on July 2. The visor is fitted today and PIZARRO should go all the way in this more moderate pace.

Selection: #11 PIZARRO. Danger: #6 COMPUTERIZE

RACE SIX: 1100m

BIG MACHINE LINKS will not be a maiden after today's sixth race. Fitted with the blinkers in an exercise work on July 4, the Dayton Flyer - Miss Polly colt kept pace with non-winners of three campaigner Supertronics (49.0 for 800m) and should be an easy winner with 3kg claiming apprentice Jerome Innis aboard. PIANO MAN and RHEA GOT TALENT will decide second with the former getting the nod.

Selection: #5 BIG MACHINE LINKS. Danger: PIANO MAN


LEGAL ARENA has been showing a lot of speed in his most recent races and there is nothing here to prevent him from going to the front and staying there. He chased out of class Mr Ambassador for a long way going 1100 meters on June 8 but came back with a below par effort when toting 56kg on June 25. Now back down to 52kg, courtesy of of apprentice Anthony Thomas' 4kg claim, LEGAL ARENA is one of the best bets of the day.

Selection: #2 LEGAL ARENA. Danger: #10 FLASHY MAMA MIA

RACE EIGHT: 1000m straight

After failing by just a head to catch Rajput Raja on July 6, BIG BLACK NATION should recoup losses in today's eighth race. The well-bred gelding has gone off favourite in his past two races and should get off the mark now that he will again run with Lasix over the straight. Last time BIG BLACK NATION ran with the medication, on June 11 over the distance, he was touched off by Nehemiah after being hindered at the start. Given a clear run today BIG BLACK NATION should get home ahead of THAT'S THE MAN. The latter has also been running consistently well but BIG BLACK NATION is the busier of the two at exercise.

Selection: #15 BIG BLACK NATION. Danger: #14 THAT'S THE MAN

RACE NINE: 1820 metres

Down in class LEGENDARY PLEASURE ran very well on a $400,000 claiming tag last Saturday and now back to his happy hunting ground ($250,000) will be difficult to beat with Wesley Henry aboard. The only question mark concerns the tongue-tie. The six-year-old gelding won twice this year without that piece of equipment but ran well enough last Saturday (with tongue-tie) to suggest that the connections are considering an all the way win. PERSIAN BELLE beat the selection on April 30 (1600m) and then won again on June 11 (1400m). He, however, finished at the back of the field, 73 lengths behind the winner, last Saturday and appears off colour at this time.


RACE TEN: 1000m straight

A very knotty event. MESSI THE GREAT has been dropped to claiming for the first time. Has been training very well and very light. Likes the distance and will be tough. AUNT HILDA, however, beat the class on June 25 with 54kg and comes back 2kg lighter and will be hard to deny. She gets the nod over SHADE OF BEAUTY who went down to the selection by less than a length going 1000 metres round on May 21.

Selection: #4 AUNT HILDA. Danger: #11 SHADE OF BEAUTY

RACE ELEVEN: 1200 metres

SOY EL SENOR who was considered a classic contender earlier this year has trained very well for today's event. He clocked 59.3 for 1000 metres on July 7, beating HEY CHAMP, after a number of bullet works since the middle of last month. A winning run today is therefore on the cards. AFRICA, trained by Philip Feanny, has also been working well but the class of SOY EL SENOR should prevail in the end.

Selection: #10 SOY EL SENOR. #12 AFRICA

RACE TWELVE: 2000 metres

FUTURE KING's class should again be too big for his rivals in the feature. He is even more suited to today's reduced distance and new rider Omar Walker (replacing Robert Halledeen) should put away his rivals from 600 metres out. BIDDADDYKOOL has already won in a fast time (2:07.2) over the distance but that was with 53.5kg. He should again be fighting for the minor places with stable companion ORPHEUS.

Selection: #9 FUTURE KING. Danger: #3 BIGDADDYKOOL

RACE THIRTEEN: 1400 metres

The nightcap is another knotty affair. SUNSHINE CITY worked well over 1400m, 1;32.2 on July 2, and with just 47kg on his back (courtesy of apprentice Javaniel Patterson's 4kg claim) the seven-year-old mare could run her best race since clocking 1:30.0 over the distance last November. She has trained really well during the past month and the recent change of owner (same trainer) appears to have brought about a change in focus. She will have a lot to fear from SIRMANDI who swept aside a better field going 1600 metres on March 9 but has been doing most of her warm-ups in the pool.

Selection: #3 SUNSHINE CITY. Danger: #12 SIRMANDI

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