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High prices expected at the pump


People rushing for food items at the John R Wong Supermarket in New Kingston as Tropical Storm Gustav approched Jamaica yesterday. - Peta-Gaye Clachar

NEW YORK (AP)

Tropical Storm Gustav affected Jamaica yesterday, but drivers might want to top off their tanks early before hitting the road for Labor Day weekend in the US.

Consumers will likely face higher prices at the pump during the busy holiday period as Tropical Storm Gustav swirls toward the Gulf of Mexico on a path that could disrupt energy production. Any damage to oil and gas facilities - especially along the vulnerable Gulf Coast - could send retail gas prices once more above $4 a gallon, analysts say.

Fears about the storm pushed crude oil above $120 a barrel Thursday, but prices later fell into negative territory as traders bet the government will tap the Strategic Petroleum Reserve if supplies are threatened.

Regardless of where the storm hits though, gas prices look to be headed higher.

Supply worries

"Prices are going to go up pretty soon. You're going to see increases by 5, 10, 15 cents a gallon," said Tom Kloza, publisher and chief analyst at the Oil Price Information Service in Wall, N.J.

That's because supply worries over Gustav have pushed wholesale gas prices up nearly 40 percent along the Gulf in the last few days, meaning struggling filling stations - even those far away from states like Louisiana and Texas -will have little choice but to pass on the costs by ratcheting up prices at least temporarily.

Gas prices have dropped steadily over the last month as crude has eased from record levels. A gallon of regular gas shed about half a penny overnight to a new national average of $3.66 - 11 percent off the all-time high of $4.114 a gallon reached last month.

But if Gustav does major damage to supplies, consumers could see that record shattered.

"If we have a Katrina-type event, you're talking about gas prices going up another 30 percent," said Kloza, whose firm tracks U.S. gas prices by surveying thousands retail outlets around the nation.

Gustav, approaching Jamaica with winds near 70 mph, could regain hurricane strength later Thursday and possibly enter the Gulf of Mexico - home of a quarter of U.S. crude production - as a dangerous Category 3 storm early next week.

Low-volume trading

Oil companies raced to remove workers from oil and gas platforms and braced structures for withering rain and wind.

The concerns pushed light, sweet crude for October delivery as high as $120.50 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, but prices later settled $2.56 lower at $115.59.

The whipsaw session was exacerbated by low-volume trading heading into the holiday weekend.

Still, oil's retreat in the face of a possibly dangerous storm surprised some oil market watchers, who attributed the move to speculation that the government could release supplies from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to counter any drop in production from Gustav. The International Energy Agency said the 27-member body was prepared to tap its emergency stocks if needed.


A resident of Old Harbour Bay, St. Catherine, carries a mattress to safer ground before the arrival of hurricane Gustav. - Ian Allen

 
August 29, 2008
 

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